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Technical Indicators

Random Walk Index

The Random Walk Index (or RWI) is both an overbought and oversold indicator for the short term, and a trend indicator for the long term.

The Random Walk Index was developed by E. Michael Poulos. For a given period, it is defined by two curves: the first based on highs and the second on lows.

Full use of this indicator involves a second set of curves of the same nature but with a different period.
The two periods used allow distinguishing between short-term and long-term aspects.
Generally, the short-term period ranges from 2 to 7 days, and the long-term period ranges from 8 to 64 days.

Calculation Method

RWI(high) = (H - Lp) / AR * (Square root of period p)
RWI(low) = (Hp - L) / AR * (Square root of period p)

where:

Example

Example

Interpretation

Analyzing the Random Walk Index allows one to know if the market is truly in a trend or if its evolution is random or chaotic.
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